Finland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
53.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
FIN
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 87 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1963 |
FIN
0 - 4
SUN
32%
22%
47%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1963 |
SUN
7 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1963 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
37%
22%
41%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
DNK
1 - 1
FIN
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1964 |
DEU
2 - 2
SCT
62%
19%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1964 |
DZA
2 - 0
DEU
33%
22%
44%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 4
DEU
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
DEU
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
DEU
3 - 0
TUR
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |