OFC Nations Cup Group A Round 2

Fiji Islands vs Vanuatu analysis

Fiji Islands Vanuatu
57 ELO 39
1.3% Tilt -1.3%
4528º General ELO ranking 20363º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
84.6%
Fiji Islands
10.9%
Draw
4.5%
Vanuatu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
Fiji Islands
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.5%
Win probability
Vanuatu
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiji Islands
-2%
-39%
Vanuatu

ELO progression

Fiji Islands
Vanuatu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiji Islands
Fiji Islands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2002
FIJ
Fiji Islands
2 - 1
New Caledonia
NCL
80%
13%
7%
57 42 15 0
16 Apr. 2001
TON
Tonga
1 - 8
Fiji Islands
FIJ
3%
15%
82%
57 22 35 0
14 Apr. 2001
FIJ
Fiji Islands
0 - 2
Australia
AUS
6%
20%
74%
57 89 32 0
11 Apr. 2001
SAM
Samoa
1 - 6
Fiji Islands
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
57 41 16 0
07 Apr. 2001
FIJ
Fiji Islands
13 - 0
American Samoa
ASA
92%
7%
2%
57 9 48 0

Matches

Vanuatu
Vanuatu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2002
AUS
Australia
2 - 0
Vanuatu
VAN
86%
11%
3%
38 90 52 0
06 Jul. 2002
VGB
British Virgin Islands
2 - 1
Vanuatu
VAN
53%
22%
26%
39 30 9 -1
13 Jun. 2001
NZL
New Zealand
7 - 0
Vanuatu
VAN
88%
9%
3%
39 73 34 0
08 Jun. 2001
VAN
Vanuatu
2 - 7
Solomon Islands
SOL
32%
25%
43%
41 47 6 -2
06 Jun. 2001
COK
Cook Islands
1 - 8
Vanuatu
VAN
41%
24%
34%
40 37 3 +1