Estonia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ROU
2 - 0
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
TUR
14%
24%
62%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
HUN
5 - 1
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
NLD
4%
13%
83%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
AZE
1 - 1
RUS
8%
20%
72%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
AZE
2 - 0
NIR
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ISR
1 - 1
AZE
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
AZE
3 - 0
MLT
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
AZE
1 - 1
LUX
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |