United States vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
USA
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
USA
5 - 1
PAN
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
USA
46%
26%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
HND
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
USA
18%
24%
59%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
COD
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
COD
1 - 1
MAR
15%
24%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
EGY
2 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
MWI
84%
13%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
GAB
2 - 2
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |