United States vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
USA
3 - 2
CRI
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
USA
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
74%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
USA
5 - 0
CUB
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
MTQ
0 - 2
USA
3%
15%
82%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
SLV
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 3
DNK
61%
23%
16%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BIH
1 - 1
DNK
12%
22%
67%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
DNK
2 - 2
ROU
55%
23%
22%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
DNK
1 - 1
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LUX
0 - 2
DNK
17%
23%
60%
|
95 | 38 | 57 | 0 |