United States vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
USA
1 - 3
ITA
26%
24%
50%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
USA
2 - 1
HND
65%
21%
15%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 1
USA
31%
28%
41%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
USA
3 - 0
TTO
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SLV
2 - 2
USA
17%
27%
57%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
4 - 3
EGY
92%
6%
2%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
PRY
80%
14%
6%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
URY
0 - 4
BRA
21%
24%
54%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 1
BRA
14%
22%
64%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | -1 |