Spain vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 1
ESP
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1980 |
DNK
2 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 2
CSK
54%
26%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
ENG
0 - 1
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 1
ENG
38%
25%
37%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 2
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
SCT
0 - 2
ENG
29%
27%
44%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
ENG
1 - 1
NIR
84%
12%
3%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |