Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
NIR
81%
15%
5%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
SWE
65%
21%
14%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 0
ESP
15%
23%
63%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
DNK
1 - 3
ESP
31%
26%
42%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
LVA
84%
13%
3%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
UKR
2 - 2
FRA
15%
25%
60%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 2
MAR
79%
16%
5%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 0
LTU
82%
14%
4%
|
99 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 6
FRA
12%
23%
65%
|
99 | 52 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
0 - 1
SCT
78%
16%
6%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | -1 |