Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
ROU
3 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ESP
6 - 0
ROU
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 0
MEX
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
FRA
2 - 3
HUN
22%
20%
58%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
GER
2 - 2
FRA
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
ENG
1 - 1
FRA
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1962 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
FRA
1 - 3
POL
74%
15%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |