Spain vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1969 |
FIN
2 - 0
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1969 |
ESP
0 - 0
MEX
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1969 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUI
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
ESP
44%
25%
30%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
DEN
5 - 2
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
FIN
2 - 2
NOR
46%
22%
32%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1969 |
FIN
3 - 1
ISL
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1969 |
FIN
2 - 0
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1969 |
FIN
1 - 5
YUG
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |