Spain vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
AUT
1 - 3
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
97 | 48 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 1
HRV
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SMR
0 - 6
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
97 | 48 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CYP
3 - 2
ISR
26%
25%
50%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
CYP
2 - 2
ROU
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
ISR
3 - 0
CYP
83%
12%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1999 |
CYP
1 - 2
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
CYP
4 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |