Spain vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 1
SUI
84%
12%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
ESP
6 - 0
POL
72%
19%
10%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
KOR
73%
18%
9%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 2
KSA
77%
17%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
HND
0 - 1
CHI
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
ROU
3 - 0
HND
59%
22%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
AZE
0 - 0
HND
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
BLR
2 - 2
HND
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
HND
0 - 1
VEN
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |