Scotland vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
20.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
+2
25%
1-0
18%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
12.6%
2.7%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
RUS
4 - 0
SCT
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
SCT
0 - 4
BEL
16%
23%
62%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SCT
1 - 2
RUS
31%
27%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
BEL
3 - 0
SCT
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SCT
2 - 1
CYP
67%
21%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
BEL
9 - 0
SMR
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 93 | 74 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
SMR
0 - 4
CYP
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 65 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SMR
0 - 4
BEL
8%
18%
75%
|
19 | 92 | 73 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
KAZ
4 - 0
SMR
86%
10%
3%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
RUS
9 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 87 | 68 | 0 |