Scotland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
WAL
2 - 2
SCO
35%
25%
39%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
SCO
1 - 2
ENG
46%
23%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
NIR
0 - 2
SCO
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
SCO
3 - 0
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
ENG
0 - 1
SCO
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
NIR
1 - 2
WAL
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
NIR
2 - 0
ENG
26%
22%
52%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
WAL
2 - 2
NIR
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
NIR
0 - 2
SCO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1926 |
ENG
3 - 3
NIR
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |