Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1949 |
SCO
2 - 0
WAL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
NIR
2 - 8
SCO
36%
22%
41%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
SCO
2 - 0
FRA
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
ENG
1 - 3
SCO
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1948 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1949 |
ENG
2 - 0
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1949 |
ENG
9 - 2
NIR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
WAL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1949 |
ENG
0 - 2
IRL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 3
ENG
30%
21%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |