UAE vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
ARE
3 - 4
ARM
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
UZB
1 - 1
ARE
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ARE
5 - 0
VNM
80%
13%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ARE
4 - 0
HKG
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
HKG
0 - 4
ARE
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAU
0 - 2
GEO
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GEO
2 - 0
LIE
82%
14%
5%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
GEO
90%
8%
2%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
GEO
0 - 1
FIN
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
GEO
0 - 0
FRA
8%
20%
73%
|
73 | 94 | 21 | +1 |