Africa Cup of Nations Round 2

Egypt vs Tunisia analysis

Egypt Tunisia
86 ELO 84
2.5% Tilt -13.5%
211º General ELO ranking 327º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.5%
Egypt
22.3%
Draw
19.2%
Tunisia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Egypt
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Win probability
Tunisia
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Egypt
+1%
-5%
Tunisia

ELO progression

Egypt
Tunisia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Egypt
Egypt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2002
EGY
Egypt
0 - 1
Senegal
SEN
71%
18%
12%
86 79 7 0
11 Jan. 2002
EGY
Egypt
2 - 2
Burkina Faso
BFA
82%
12%
6%
86 64 22 0
06 Jan. 2002
EGY
Egypt
1 - 2
Mali
MLI
82%
13%
6%
86 70 16 0
04 Jan. 2002
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Ghana
GHA
66%
20%
13%
86 80 6 0
30 Dec. 2001
QAT
Qatar
2 - 2
Egypt
EGY
35%
28%
36%
86 79 7 0

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2002
ZAM
Zambia
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
31%
28%
41%
84 79 5 0
11 Jan. 2002
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 1
Cameroon
CMR
52%
25%
24%
85 85 0 -1
30 Dec. 2001
TUN
Tunisia
7 - 2
Liberia
LBR
91%
7%
2%
84 58 26 +1
28 Nov. 2001
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Togo
TOG
80%
14%
7%
84 65 19 0
15 Nov. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 1
Switzerland
SUI
32%
27%
42%
84 90 6 0