Egypt vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
EGY
1 - 0
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
EGY
6 - 0
MAD
93%
6%
2%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
EGY
7 - 0
MUS
95%
5%
1%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
EGY
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
MUS
0 - 1
EGY
9%
20%
71%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
CRC
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LSO
0 - 3
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZIM
64%
22%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
CIV
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
TTO
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |