Ecuador vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2001 |
ECU
1 - 4
CHI
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
HND
1 - 1
ECU
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2001 |
SLV
0 - 1
ECU
33%
27%
39%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2001 |
USA
0 - 0
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 0
VEN
88%
9%
4%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
BOL
5 - 0
VEN
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
VEN
2 - 2
COL
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
CRC
2 - 2
VEN
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |