Ecuador vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
62%
24%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 1
ECU
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 2
ECU
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
4%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
PAR
0 - 2
ECU
63%
23%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |