Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
MEX
2 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
URY
4 - 0
ECU
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
ECU
2 - 0
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
PAN
0 - 0
ECU
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CHL
0 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 0
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHL
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 1
PRY
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |