Ecuador vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 2
MEX
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 0
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
78%
16%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 3
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |