Ecuador vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ECU
1 - 0
BRA
14%
22%
64%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 2
ECU
55%
26%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
ECU
0 - 3
JOR
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
VEN
3 - 1
ECU
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
IRN
1 - 0
PAN
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
PAN
3 - 0
SLV
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
USA
6 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
9%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 1
JAM
37%
28%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 1
USA
19%
28%
54%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | +1 |