Denmark vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
2 - 2
DNK
44%
27%
30%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SCT
0 - 1
DNK
34%
28%
38%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
DNK
0 - 3
ENG
25%
25%
50%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2002 |
DNK
2 - 0
FRA
13%
21%
66%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2002 |
DNK
1 - 1
SEN
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 5
ISR
12%
23%
64%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 2
MAR
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 88 | 49 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LUX
3 - 3
LIE
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 3
LVA
19%
24%
56%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 0
ALB
21%
25%
53%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |