Croatia vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
HRV
1 - 0
MDA
85%
12%
3%
|
91 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HUN
1 - 1
HRV
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
HRV
2 - 0
ISR
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
RUS
1 - 3
HRV
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MLT
0 - 1
HRV
9%
20%
71%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 2
SVN
12%
21%
66%
|
27 | 81 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
7 - 0
SMR
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 89 | 61 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
LTU
2 - 1
SMR
80%
16%
5%
|
28 | 70 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 6
ENG
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 94 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
SMR
77%
17%
7%
|
28 | 70 | 42 | 0 |