Africa Cup of Nations Ghana Semi-finals

Côte d'Ivoire vs Egypt analysis

Côte d'Ivoire Egypt
87 ELO 89
-2.2% Tilt -3.5%
279º General ELO ranking 212º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43%
Côte d'Ivoire
25.7%
Draw
31.3%
Egypt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Côte d'Ivoire
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.3%
Win probability
Egypt
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Côte d'Ivoire
-1%
-1%
Egypt

ELO progression

Côte d'Ivoire
Egypt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Côte d'Ivoire
Côte d'Ivoire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2008
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
5 - 0
Guinea
GUI
75%
16%
9%
88 79 9 0
29 Jan. 2008
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
3 - 0
Mali
MLI
72%
18%
11%
87 80 7 +1
25 Jan. 2008
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
4 - 1
Benin
BEN
89%
9%
2%
87 60 27 0
21 Jan. 2008
NGA
Nigeria
0 - 1
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
51%
24%
26%
87 88 1 0
12 Jan. 2008
KWT
Kuwait
0 - 2
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
35%
27%
38%
87 80 7 0

Matches

Egypt
Egypt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2008
EGY
Egypt
2 - 1
Angola
ANG
85%
10%
5%
89 78 11 0
30 Jan. 2008
EGY
Egypt
1 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
85%
10%
5%
89 77 12 0
26 Jan. 2008
EGY
Egypt
3 - 0
Sudan
SDN
92%
7%
2%
89 67 22 0
22 Jan. 2008
EGY
Egypt
4 - 2
Cameroon
CMR
62%
20%
18%
89 87 2 0
13 Jan. 2008
ANG
Angola
3 - 3
Egypt
EGY
27%
30%
43%
89 76 13 0