Comoros vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
77.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
7%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
ZIM
7%
16%
77%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ZIM
2 - 0
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 67 | 55 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
KEN
14%
22%
64%
|
11 | 60 | 49 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
TAN
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 3
UGA
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAM
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |