Comoros vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COM
0 - 4
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAD
6 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
2 - 0
COM
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
4 - 0
NAM
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
2 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NAM
2 - 1
KEN
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |