Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
HTI
82%
14%
4%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
55%
24%
21%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 3
COL
22%
27%
51%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
ARG
33%
26%
40%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 0
PRY
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 0
PRY
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PRY
2 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ECU
2 - 2
PRY
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
PRY
2 - 1
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |