Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
34%
29%
38%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
MEX
40%
27%
33%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
USA
36%
26%
38%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
5 - 0
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEN
3 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
40%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
6 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
USA
1 - 3
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |