Colombia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
73%
16%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
ECU
1 - 3
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1975 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1973 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
PER
3 - 1
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
ECU
1 - 3
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1975 |
ECU
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
ECU
66%
18%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1975 |
PER
2 - 0
ECU
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |