Colombia vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
69 | 94 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 1
KWT
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
ARG
2 - 2
CHI
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1980 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |