Colombia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
63.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 1
URY
31%
31%
39%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 2
PRY
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
PRY
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1985 |
PRY
0 - 3
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
69%
19%
11%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 0
URY
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
86%
11%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |