Colombia vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ECU
6 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COL
0 - 3
URY
46%
25%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 2
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHL
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
22%
25%
53%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ARG
1 - 1
PRY
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
9%
19%
72%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |