Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1969 |
CHL
0 - 0
PRY
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
DDR
0 - 1
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHL
30%
22%
48%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
PRY
0 - 1
CHL
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1969 |
ECU
0 - 2
URY
10%
17%
73%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
URY
11%
18%
72%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1969 |
PER
1 - 0
URY
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
URY
1 - 2
ENG
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
URY
0 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |