Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
CHI
7 - 0
VEN
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
46%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
PER
2 - 3
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |