Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
71%
18%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
46%
23%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 3
MEX
50%
23%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
ECU
57%
22%
22%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
JAM
89%
9%
3%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
62%
20%
18%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |