CHAN Primera Ronda. Final
Global 4-5
Chad vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
TCD
0 - 1
TZA
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EGY
4 - 0
TCD
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TCD
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
TCD
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TCD
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
SAU
3 - 2
GNQ
77%
17%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 4
GNQ
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GNQ
0 - 1
SEN
12%
24%
64%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MDG
1 - 0
GNQ
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GNQ
0 - 1
MDG
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |