Bhutan vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
BTN
3 - 4
MDV
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
QAT
15 - 0
BTN
88%
10%
2%
|
29 | 81 | 52 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
KHM
2 - 0
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 6
CHN
7%
16%
78%
|
30 | 84 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
7 - 0
BTN
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
THA
1 - 0
HKG
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 3
QAT
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 0
HKG
82%
14%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 0
MDV
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
7 - 0
BTN
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |