WC Qual. Asia Grupo 3 - Fase 2 round 2

Bután vs China analysis

Bután China
30 ELO 84
3.2% Tilt 6.5%
8732º General ELO ranking 727º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
6.6%
Bután
15.7%
Draw
77.8%
China

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
Bhutan
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
77.8%
Win probability
China
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bután
+58%
-17%
China

ELO progression

Bhutan
China
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bhutan
Bhutan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2015
HKG
Hong Kong
7 - 0
Bhutan
BTN
80%
14%
7%
30 52 22 0
17 Mar. 2015
BTN
Bhutan
2 - 1
Sri Lanka
LKA
30%
23%
47%
28 38 10 +2
12 Mar. 2015
LKA
Sri Lanka
0 - 1
Bhutan
BTN
64%
20%
17%
27 38 11 +1
02 Sep. 2013
AFG
Afghanistan
3 - 0
Bhutan
BTN
74%
16%
9%
28 47 19 -1
19 Mar. 2011
NPL
Nepal
2 - 1
Bhutan
BTN
76%
15%
9%
28 51 23 0

Matches

China
China
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2015
CHN
China
1 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
53%
25%
23%
84 82 2 0
27 Mar. 2015
CHN
China
2 - 2
Haiti
HTI
69%
19%
12%
84 70 14 0
22 Jan. 2015
CHN
China
0 - 2
Australia
AUS
36%
25%
39%
84 86 2 0
18 Jan. 2015
CHN
China
2 - 1
North Korea
PRK
65%
21%
15%
84 75 9 0
14 Jan. 2015
CHN
China
2 - 1
Uzbekistan
UZB
52%
24%
25%
84 80 4 0