Burundi vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
BDI
1 - 0
SEN
15%
24%
60%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1998 |
BDI
1 - 2
LAO
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
MMR
4 - 1
BDI
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
SGP
1 - 0
BDI
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1997 |
MMR
6 - 1
BDI
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
GAB
1 - 1
BFA
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
SEN
1 - 1
BFA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1999 |
TGO
1 - 2
BFA
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1999 |
BFA
4 - 1
MLI
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
BFA
1 - 0
MLI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |