African Nations Championship Group B Round 2

Burkina Faso vs Morocco analysis

Burkina Faso Morocco
69 ELO 83
4.7% Tilt -8.2%
1121º General ELO ranking 107º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.7%
Burkina Faso
28.6%
Draw
42.7%
Morocco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
Burkina Faso
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
42.7%
Win probability
Morocco
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burkina Faso
-1%
+6%
Morocco

ELO progression

Burkina Faso
Morocco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2014
UGA
Uganda
2 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
49%
25%
26%
70 70 0 0
19 Nov. 2013
ALG
Algeria
1 - 0
Burkina Faso
BFA
60%
23%
17%
71 78 7 -1
12 Oct. 2013
BFA
Burkina Faso
3 - 2
Algeria
ALG
41%
28%
30%
70 79 9 +1
10 Sep. 2013
NGA
Nigeria
4 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
75%
17%
8%
71 87 16 -1
07 Sep. 2013
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 0
Gabon
GAB
43%
25%
32%
71 73 2 0

Matches

Morocco
Morocco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2014
ZIM
Zimbabwe
0 - 0
Morocco
MAR
23%
28%
49%
83 67 16 0
11 Oct. 2013
MAR
Morocco
1 - 1
South Africa
RSA
46%
27%
27%
84 83 1 -1
07 Sep. 2013
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
1 - 1
Morocco
MAR
67%
20%
12%
84 89 5 0
14 Aug. 2013
MAR
Morocco
1 - 2
Burkina Faso
BFA
69%
20%
11%
85 71 14 -1
13 Jul. 2013
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
45%
27%
29%
85 84 1 0