AFCON Qualifying Group B Round 1

Burkina Faso vs Cape Verde analysis

Burkina Faso Cape Verde
75 ELO 68
-2.2% Tilt -22.2%
1121º General ELO ranking 1474º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.2%
Burkina Faso
22.7%
Draw
18.1%
Cape Verde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
Burkina Faso
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
Cape Verde
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burkina Faso
-8%
+16%
Cape Verde

ELO progression

Burkina Faso
Cape Verde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2022
BEL
Belgium
3 - 0
Burkina Faso
BFA
91%
7%
2%
75 93 18 0
24 Mar. 2022
XXK
Kosovo
5 - 0
Burkina Faso
BFA
46%
25%
29%
76 70 6 -1
05 Feb. 2022
BFA
Burkina Faso
3 - 3
Cameroon
CMR
32%
27%
42%
76 83 7 0
02 Feb. 2022
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 3
Senegal
SEN
26%
25%
49%
76 85 9 0
29 Jan. 2022
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
28%
25%
47%
76 83 7 0

Matches

Cape Verde
Cape Verde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2022
CPV
Cape Verde
2 - 0
San Marino
SMR
80%
14%
6%
68 19 49 0
25 Mar. 2022
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 6
Cape Verde
CPV
9%
20%
72%
68 34 34 0
23 Mar. 2022
GLP
Guadalupe
0 - 2
Cape Verde
CPV
25%
26%
50%
68 56 12 0
25 Jan. 2022
SEN
Senegal
2 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
72%
19%
9%
69 85 16 -1
17 Jan. 2022
CPV
Cape Verde
1 - 1
Cameroon
CMR
22%
25%
53%
68 83 15 +1