Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 4
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 4
BRA
20%
21%
59%
|
90 | 11 | 79 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1960 |
EGY
0 - 3
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
EGY
1 - 3
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1960 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
37%
22%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1960 |
SUI
4 - 2
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |