Brazil vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
CHL
1 - 5
BRA
24%
25%
52%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
ITA
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 1
URY
81%
12%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 2
PER
82%
11%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1971 |
IRL
1 - 4
AUT
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
SWE
1 - 0
AUT
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
AUT
0 - 2
HUN
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
AUT
1 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
AUT
1 - 0
FRA
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |