Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
URU
1 - 4
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
BRA
10%
18%
72%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
BOL
2 - 0
ARG
9%
20%
71%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 0
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | -1 |