Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
GER
2 - 3
BRA
30%
22%
49%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
BRA
7%
14%
79%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
13%
18%
69%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 0
GRC
88%
9%
4%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
3 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
18%
21%
61%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 2
GER
59%
21%
20%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
2 - 4
ARG
7%
15%
78%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 1
TUN
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
3 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |