Belarus vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.6%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
NED
4 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
3%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BLR
0 - 0
FRA
11%
21%
68%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
BLR
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
IRL
1 - 2
BLR
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NIR
3 - 0
BLR
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 1
SWE
11%
23%
66%
|
44 | 89 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGR
4 - 3
LUX
84%
13%
3%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LVA
3 - 1
LUX
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NGA
14%
26%
60%
|
45 | 86 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 2
ALB
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |