Belarus vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
SVN
1 - 0
BLR
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BLR
1 - 3
ROU
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BLR
2 - 1
ISR
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
2 - 1
BLR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BLR
0 - 2
BGR
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 89 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 3
SVN
13%
23%
64%
|
33 | 82 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 0
GEO
14%
20%
67%
|
32 | 76 | 44 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 3
ALB
17%
22%
62%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 0
LUX
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |