Bermuda vs Sint Maarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
ABW
3 - 1
BMU
16%
19%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BMU
0 - 0
BRB
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ATG
3 - 2
BMU
37%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 3
BRB
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
1 - 2
BMU
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
HTI
13 - 0
SXM
79%
16%
5%
|
8 | 67 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SXM
1 - 2
VIR
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GRD
5 - 0
SXM
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
SXM
2 - 2
KNA
23%
28%
49%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
JAM
2 - 0
SXM
75%
18%
7%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |